Abstract:
The main objectives of this study are to examine the
trends in area, production and yield of Iran’s agricultural production
especially food grains; the decomposition of output growth of main crops
and systematically document the pre and post-revolutionary and pre and
post-reform trends in agricultural growth in Iran. Compound growth rates
of area, production and yield were estimated by fitting semi-log trend
equation using data for 1970/71-1999/2000. Decomposition of output growth
of main crops were examined by fitting component analysis model using
data for the period 1970/71-1999/2000. The performance of agricultural
sector was slightly better during the pre-revolutionary period than that
of post-revolutionary period. Production yield per hectare of food grains
grew during the 1970-78 at the higher rate than that of during the 1979-2000.
During the post-revolutionary period, the total agricultural crops during
the pre-economic reforms period grew at the higher rate than that of post-economic
period, but the growth in yield during the post-economic reforms period
was much better than that of during the 1979-89. The main source of growth
of agricultural production during the period 1970-2000 has been the growth
in yield per hectare and expansion in irrigated area.
Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri , 2008. Estimating Growth Rates and Decomposition Analysis of Agricultural Production in Iran (1970-2000). Trends in Agricultural Economics, 1: 14-26.
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